Hainan: Sustained growth in planting of bananas for more than two months

The banana dumplings that lasted more than two months have been turned upside down by the media. Hainan’s banana plantation giant Li Qiang (a pseudonym) has not paid much attention to news reports. In his view, this year's banana prices have long been doomed, the only surprise is that "some are too low."

Li Qiang has been growing bananas for more than 10 years. At present, he and his partners have rented more than 20,000 mu of bananas in Hainan, Guangxi, Yunnan and other places. This is a real banana plantation. Earlier this year, Li Qiang still continued his optimism in recent years. The average banana price per kilogram in the first three months was 4.4 yuan, 5.2 yuan and 5.6 yuan respectively. On April 15th, the comprehensive average price of bananas in Hainan reached the peak of 6.2 yuan/kg, and in some regions such as Ledong Li Autonomous County, there was even a “high price” of 7.6 yuan/kg. Such high prices were never seen by Li Qiang.

In spite of this, Li Qiang still found that from a full-year perspective, the price of bananas in Hainan should be lower than in previous years, because there are too many people who grow bananas.

On April 23, a media report about banana ripening with the use of ethephon, a chemical used in bananas, was quickly fermented and was finally interpreted as a rumors that “Etheny bananas” is harmful to the human body. The banana price started to ride a roller coaster. In mid-May, the field purchase price was less than 8 cents a pound. Although the rumor of ethephon bananas was quickly clarified by the relevant authorities, Li Qiang lost a few million yuan in less than a month.

Li Qiang’s friend, Zhao Ming (a pseudonym), who is also a big banana planter, saw that after May 20th, the price of the listed Hainan bananas dive straight, with a minimum of 0.4-0.6 yuan per kilogram. This price is far below cost. The experience of planting bananas for many years tells Li Qiang and Zhao Ming that the banana market at this time is completely circumscribed by the invisible hand of “supply and demand”. It is normal for some people to make money and others to lose money.

The sale of bananas is not just a rumor. It is not hard to find in the overwhelming reports that the reasons for selling bananas have been attributed to several factors: on the one hand, the toxic rumors of ethephon ripening bananas, on the one hand, due to the early beginnings of Hainan. The low-temperature, low-temperature weather of up to 3 months resulted in the delayed listing of “Winter Bananas”, which overlapped with the listing period of “Spring Bananas,” causing a large number of bananas to be listed on the market. The oversupply of the market, together with other unfavorable factors, contributed to 6 After the month, the price of bananas in Hainan was "a big dive."

In Li Qiang’s opinion, rumors and late listings did have an impact on the recent banana sale. However, the most fundamental reason is that in recent years, bananas in Hainan have become more and more, and the oversupply is the root cause of banana sales. , "95% is caused by 'more'."

Li Qiang said: “There are few large-scale bananas planted more than 10 years ago. Most farmers in Hainan are scattered planting crops. How many can be sold in quantity? Until 2006, it is possible to rent a banana for more than 100 yuan per mu. 1,200 yuan is still not rented, and some lands that are not suitable for planting bananas have also been used."

Statistics from the agricultural authorities also confirmed the intuitive feelings of the large planters. According to figures provided by Zhang Jian, Director of the Department of Market and Economic Information of the Department of Agriculture of Hainan Province, the number of islands exported from Hainan in June 2009 was 270,000 tons. The number of outbound islands in June 2010 was 280,000 tons. In June of this year, the number of outbound islands of Hainan bananas was 400,000 tons, an increase of over 42% year-on-year.

Local media in Hainan also discovered a significant change in the linear rise in banana planting area in recent years. In 1997, the banana planting area in Hainan was only 380,000 mu. In 2006, the banana planting area in Hainan reached 690,000 mu, and the total output was 1.08 million tons, accounting for 57% of the total amount of tropical fruits; the output value reached 2.6 billion yuan, accounting for the entire province. With 53% of tropical fruits, bananas have become a pillar industry in Hainan's high-efficiency agriculture; in 2007, it reached 800,000 mu and the output was 2 million tons; in 2010, it reached 870,000 mu and the output was about 1.9 million tons.

As early as August 23, 2005, at the Hainan Provincial Banana Work Conference held in Lingao County, the Department of Agriculture of Hainan Province once again declared that, by 2010, the banana planting area in Hainan should reach 100 million mu and the yield is 250. Ten thousand tons.

Haikou’s commentator Yang Gong expressed: “The report given by Hainan Daily reported that the banana planting area in Hainan was 41 million mu in 1999 and 870,000 mu in 2010. People seem to be close to the truth and the first time they will be bananas. The planting area is linked to the slow-moving bananas, and the cause has been found."

How many people sell bananas? After watching the news of selling bananas, there is a new understanding of bananas. It is not only a delicious fruit, but also a tropical economic crop that occupies an important position in Hainan Province, even It is understood that the cost of planting a pound of bananas is 0.7 to 1 yuan.

“This is a good thing, but where is banana planting so simple? The cost of planting will vary greatly depending on the planting pattern, season, yield, and pest and disease. If only the farmers use their own land to grow bananas, the cost of a pound At the lowest there are only two and a half bucks.” Seeing more and more information about bananas in the news, Li Qiang is not willing to evaluate the authenticity and comprehensiveness of the report.

Li Qiang said that many people have different understandings of the concept of "selling". Prices lower than last year are called for sale. Prices below the cost are also called for sale. However, the news does not make it clear.

Zhao Ming, who is also a big banana grower, agrees with Li Qiang. In Zhao Ming’s view, the news constantly stressed that the sale of bananas would cause the public to have the illusion that people who grow bananas this year are losing money and the banana market should be saved. They should help poor banana farmers find a way out.

“Hainan's bananas can be listed throughout the year, and different growers will choose planting time based on different judgments. The news that 95% of growers are losing money is unlikely to happen.” Li Qiang’s own 20,000 mu of bananas Different time to market. He basically did not sell bananas in June, and his profit for the whole year was still considerable.

According to the statistics of Hainan Provincial Department of Agriculture, this year, the harvested area of ​​bananas in the whole island is about 875,000 mu, and banana production is about 1.9 million tons. As of June 30, 1.4 million tons had been sold out of the island, and about 70,000 tons were consumed on the island, and about 430,000 tons will be listed for sale within the next month. The number of islands exported to Hainan in June was 400,000 tons.

After a simple calculation, it can be found that except for the 400,000 tons of bananas that were below the average cost price in June, the 1 million tons of bananas listed in the period from January to May will not suffer losses, and the remaining 400,000 tons of bananas for sale will remain. According to the July 8 market that has risen to 1.6 yuan/kg, even if it is a loss, it will only be a rare case. Throughout the year, Hainan’s bananas only suffered a loss of more than 20%.

The biggest “victim” is the banana speculator. “Banana is a tropical crop with high risk. A typhoon can make banana farmers' investments. A rumor can also make banana prices fall below costs, not to mention the supply and demand market. "Industrial disasters." Li Qiang, who has fought for many years in the banana market, is puzzled. Many people do not understand bananas at all, but he sees bananas growing in Hainan for rent after banana prices have risen steadily in recent years. Li Qiang roughly estimates that only 30% of the banana growers in Hainan are unintelligible.

Zhang Jian of the Agriculture Department of Hainan Province mentioned to the media when summing up the sale of bananas in June that the banana prices were good in the previous two years, leading many farmers this year to follow suit, resulting in a 23% increase in banana planting area.

“I think that the banana industry has now become a gambling industry. There are more and more speculators. Even real estate and drug sales have turned to bananas. This year's sell-off has caused some people to lose money, to a certain extent. This is a good thing. On the one hand, banana prices can be returned to a reasonable level, and on the other hand, it can end the huge profits of bananas." Li Qiang believes that the biggest "victim" of banana turmoil is those who do not understand the banana speculators, The sale will surely make them realize that blindly following the wind always has a trouble day.

As a big banana planter in Hainan, Li Qiang and Zhao Ming have also been adjusting for the past two years. They have not only continued to develop new markets, but have also gradually transferred their funds to other tropical economic crops. Li Qiang said: "What we always think of is to spread risks, not to make huge profits."

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